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When will this relentless Atlantic hurricane season finally end?

Colorado State University

A record-breaking 29 storms into this seemingly endless hurricane season, storm-battered residents in the U.S. and elsewhere are wondering when it will finally come to an end.

Twelve storms have made landfall on U.S. soil this season, breaking a century-old record. And for just the second time, meteorologists had to dip into the Greek alphabet to name storms.

And after all, the "official" end to the season is Nov. 30, and November is typically one of the quietest months for storms.

In the short term, unfortunately, after Hurricane Eta's deadly rampage through Central America, Subtropical Storm Theta formed early Tuesday, breaking the record for most storms in a single season.

Theta is far out in the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. The storm, which was nearing hurricane strength as of early Tuesday, poses no immediate threat to any land areas, the National Hurricane Center said.

A developing storm – which would be called Iota – is closer to home in the Caribbean Sea. It probably won't form until later this week at the earliest, if it forms at all, the Hurricane Center said. Its eventual path – and whether it could affect the U.S. – was unknown.

But beyond that, "while this season is seemingly going on forever, there does appear to be some light at the end of the tunnel," Colorado State University hurricane researcher Phil Klotzbach said in an email to USA TODAY.

He said the strong upper-level winds that act to tear developing storms and hurricanes apart will be increasing over the Caribbean Sea in a couple of weeks. This "may put an end" to the prolific tropical cyclone production in that area, Klotzbach said.

But what about in other parts of the Atlantic? Could the season actually stretch past its "official" end date of Nov. 30?

"There is definitely concern that we could see activity into December," AccuWeather senior meteorologist Randy Adkins told USA TODAY.

Klotzbach was unsure at this point: "It's really hard to say if the season could continue into December," Klotzbach said. "Typically late-November and December storms tend to form in the subtropics and are often associated with systems that originate as non-tropical ... similar to what the subtropical eastern Atlantic low-pressure area that the Hurricane Center is monitoring now."

December tropical storms and hurricanes are exceedingly rare. "Only one season on record has had more than one named storm form in December, and that was all the way back in 1887," Klotzbach said.

The infamous 2005 season, which included Hurricane Katrina, featured one storm that formed in late December and actually lasted into early January 2006: Tropical Storm Zeta, which spun harmlessly in the central Atlantic for about a week, according to the Hurricane Center.

 

This article was originally published on usatoday.com

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